Mercer
W-L: (13- 7) PR = 85.4817Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 10-12 212 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 85.2) 11-14 221 A South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 10-15 225 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Su ( 8-10, 74.6) 18- 5 304 A Stetson Atlantic Su ( 3-13, 75.5) 22- 7 307 A Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 9-23 314 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 20-16 317 H Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 8-16 323 H Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 90.2) 8-17 328 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 10- 6 401 H Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 19- 2 408 A Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 13- 6 411 H Winthrop Big South ( 6-10, 74.2) 19- 3 415 A Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 17- 4 418 A Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 24- 0 422 A Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 17- 2 425 H Longwood Big South ( 3-12, 71.8) 18- 8 501 H Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 16- 8 503 H High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 14-11 508 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 8-18
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Virginia Tech 10-12 -2 0 -1.72
212 A Vanderbilt 11-14 -3 -1 -1.93
221 A South Florida 10-15 -5 -5 -0.41
225 A Kennesaw State 18- 5 13 10 + 3.50
304 A Stetson 22- 7 15 9 ++ 5.43
307 A Florida 9-23 -14 -9 -- -4.69
314 H Arizona State 20-16 4 0 ++ 4.10
317 H Clemson 8-16 -8 -8 -0.11
323 H Dartmouth 8-17 -9 -3 -- -5.62
328 A High Point 10- 6 4 2 1.80
401 H Presbyterian 19- 2 17 16 0.00
408 A Furman 13- 6 7 7 -0.10
411 H Winthrop 19- 3 16 13 1.30
415 A Gardner Webb 17- 4 13 13 0.02
418 A Radford 24- 0 24 13 1.22
422 A Wofford 17- 2 15 8 +++ 6.19
425 H Longwood 18- 8 10 15 -- -4.00
501 H Furman 16- 8 8 10 -1.84
503 H High Point 14-11 3 5 -1.93
508 A Michigan 8-18 -10 -10 -0.20
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Florida 9-23 -14 -9 -- -4.69 323 H Dartmouth 8-17 -9 -3 -- -5.62 425 H Longwood 18- 8 10 15 -- -4.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Wofford 17- 2 15 8 +++ 6.19 304 A Stetson 22- 7 15 9 ++ 5.43 314 H Arizona State 20-16 4 0 ++ 4.10 225 A Kennesaw State 18- 5 13 10 + 3.50 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 10-12 -12.77 27.39 -1.37 0.87 -6.12
3 A Vanderbilt ( 8- 9, 85.2) 11-14 -14.71 25.46 1.37 0.87 -5.78
3 A South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 10-15 -11.20 28.97 1.37 0.87 -4.26
3 A Kennesaw State ( 8-10, 74.6) 18- 5 -25.29 14.88 1.37 0.87 28.14
3 A Stetson ( 3-13, 75.5) 22- 7 -24.36 15.81 1.37 0.87 29.76
3 A Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 9-23 -6.48 33.69 1.37 0.87 -2.21
3 H Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 20-16 -12.95 27.22 -1.37 0.87 44.78
3 H Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 8-16 -5.16 35.01 -1.37 0.87 -2.83
3 H Dartmouth ( 8- 7, 90.2) 8-17 -9.67 30.50 -1.37 0.87 -4.78
3 A High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 10- 6 -17.98 22.19 1.37 0.87 40.80
3 H Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 19- 2 -29.12 11.05 -1.37 0.87 16.77
3 A Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 13- 6 -22.89 17.28 1.37 0.87 32.31
3 H Winthrop ( 6-10, 74.2) 19- 3 -25.75 14.42 -1.37 0.87 22.61
3 A Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 17- 4 -28.77 11.40 1.37 0.87 22.11
3 A Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 24- 0 -28.57 11.60 1.37 0.87 22.46
3 A Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 17- 2 -23.60 16.57 1.37 0.87 31.08
3 H Longwood ( 3-12, 71.8) 18- 8 -28.06 12.11 -1.37 0.87 18.60
3 H Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 16- 8 -22.89 17.28 -1.37 0.87 27.57
3 H High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 14-11 -17.98 22.19 -1.37 0.87 36.06
3 A Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 8-18 -5.98 34.19 1.37 0.87 -2.00
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345.09
|
winning pts = 373.0696 losing points = -27.9812
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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